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Gas vs Electric Heating Calculator

Which is cheaper to heat with — same useful heat, gas furnace vs heat pump or resistance.

Updated

50 therms

From your gas bill.

95% AFUE

US average is about $0.175.

Cheaper to heat with

$78.95gas

cheaper by $6.51

Gas cost
$78.95
Electric cost
$85.46
Electric energy
1,465 kWh-equiv

Gas is cheaper by $6.51 for this much heat.

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In short

Is gas or electric heat cheaper?

Price the same useful heat from both sides: gas costs (therms ÷ AFUE) × the gas rate, electric costs (therms × 29.3 ÷ COP) × the electric rate. On the defaults — 50 therm-equivalents, $1.50 a therm at 0.95 AFUE against $0.175 per kWh at COP 3 — gas is $78.95 and the heat pump $85.46, so gas wins by $6.51.

That margin is small enough that your own rates, or a heat pump COP that falls in cold weather, can reverse the result entirely.

How to use the gas vs electric heating calculator

This tool settles the gas-versus-electric heating argument the only fair way, by pricing the exact same amount of useful heat from each side. You enter how much heat you need in therm-equivalents, the price of gas and the price of electricity, your furnace AFUE, and whether the electric system is a heat pump or plain resistance heat, and the tool returns the gas cost, the electric cost, and the winner with the gap between them.

Everything is pre-filled with a representative example — 50 therm-equivalents at $1.50 per therm and 0.95 AFUE, against $0.175 per kWh at COP 3 — so you can watch it work before swapping in your own numbers. The point is that efficiency is what makes the comparison honest, and both sides get it applied.

$78.95

Gas cost

50 therm-equivalents at $1.50, 0.95 AFUE

$85.46

Heat pump at COP 3

at $0.175 per kWh

$6.51

The gap

gas wins on the defaults

Start with the useful heat needed, entered in therm-equivalents: the heat actually delivered into your rooms, not the raw fuel burned to make it. One therm-equivalent is the same quantity of warmth whether it comes from gas or electricity, which is what makes the comparison legitimate, because both fuels are then charged for delivering identical results.

The default of 50 is a fair stand-in for a chunk of a heating season. If you know a month delivered heat, enter it; if you do not, leave the default and read the result as a per-50-unit comparison you can scale linearly. Doubling the heat doubles both costs, so the winner and the percentage gap stay the same however you scale it.

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Next come the two rates and the furnace AFUE. Annual Fuel Utilization Efficiency is the share of the gas energy that becomes usable heat: 0.95 means 95 percent of the energy in the gas ends up warming the house and the other 5 percent goes up the flue. Because of that loss, the gas energy you must buy is the useful heat divided by AFUE, not the useful heat itself.

Enter the rating on your own furnace. Modern condensing furnaces sit around 0.90 to 0.98 while older atmospheric units run considerably lower, and the current federal minimum for new non-weatherized gas furnaces is 80 percent AFUE, a level unchanged since 2007; the Department of Energy finalised a rule in December 2023 raising it to 95 percent for units manufactured on and after 18 December 2028.

That 95 percent rule is in force but it is not settled law. The DC Circuit upheld it in November 2025, and in June 2026 the Supreme Court vacated that decision and sent the case back for reconsideration. Treat the 2028 date as the current requirement rather than a certainty, and check where the case stands if you are planning a replacement around it.

Need your all-in price per therm?

This tool wants the gas price including anything billed by the therm. The natural gas cost calculator derives that all-in figure from a bill you already have.

Open the natural gas cost calculator

Do

  • Enter useful heat delivered into your rooms, not the fuel burned to make it.
  • Use the all-in dollars per therm from your own gas bill.
  • Take the AFUE from your furnace label or rating plate.
  • Pick resistance for baseboards, electric furnaces and strip heat.
  • Re-run the comparison at a colder-weather COP of 2 or 1.75.

Don't

  • Compare raw fuel prices without applying AFUE and COP to each side.
  • Assume a mild-weather COP holds through a hard freeze.
  • Read the winner as equipment advice, because this is running cost only.
  • Convert an older HSPF number as though it were an HSPF2 figure.

Every heating option reduced to one comparable number: what it costs to put a million BTU of heat into your rooms. This is the comparison the formula section makes for one scenario, extended across the whole efficiency ladder, so you can see exactly where a heat pump overtakes a furnace and how far an old furnace or a cold-weather COP moves the line.

Heating systemEfficiency appliedFuel or electricity needed per million BTU deliveredCost per million BTU delivered
Condensing gas furnace, top of rangeAFUE 0.9810.20 therms$15.31
Condensing gas furnace, the tool defaultAFUE 0.9510.53 therms$15.79
Condensing gas furnace, entry levelAFUE 0.9011.11 therms$16.67
Non-condensing gas furnace at the federal minimumAFUE 0.8012.50 therms$18.75
Older atmospheric gas furnaceAFUE 0.7014.29 therms$21.43
Very old gas furnaceAFUE 0.6016.67 therms$25.00
Heat pump at a mild-weather best caseCOP 4.073.3 kWh$12.82
Heat pump, the tool defaultCOP 3.097.7 kWh$17.10
Heat pump in cool conditionsCOP 2.5117.2 kWh$20.51
Heat pump at a 7.5 HSPF2 seasonal averageCOP 2.2133.2 kWh$23.31
Heat pump in cold conditionsCOP 2.0146.5 kWh$25.64
Cold-climate heat pump at the NEEP 5°F floorCOP 1.75167.5 kWh$29.31
Heat pump struggling in deep coldCOP 1.5195.4 kWh$34.19
Electric resistance: baseboards, strip heat, electric furnaceCOP 1.0293.1 kWh$51.29
Computed July 2026 at the calculator default prices of $1.50 per therm of gas and $0.175 per kWh of electricity, with a therm taken as 100,000 BTU and a kilowatt-hour as 3,412.14 BTU. Regulatory anchors: 80 percent AFUE has been the federal minimum for new non-weatherized gas furnaces since 2007, with a 95 percent minimum finalised in December 2023 for units manufactured on and after 18 December 2028; the Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships cold-climate air source heat pump specification requires a COP of at least 1.75 at 5°F at maximum capacity; and HSPF2 replaced HSPF as the US heat pump rating on 1 January 2023, with a 7.5 HSPF2 minimum for split systems. Substitute your own prices, because the ranking flips with them.

How much does heat pump versus resistance change it?

Then choose the electric type, because it changes the answer completely. A therm of useful heat is about 29.3 kWh of energy, and a heat pump coefficient of performance divides that figure: a COP of 3 means the unit moves three units of heat for every one unit of electricity, so it needs only a third of the electricity a resistance heater would.

Resistance heat is COP 1, where every kilowatt-hour of electricity becomes one kilowatt-hour of heat and nothing is multiplied. Pick heat pump for a modern system in mild conditions and resistance for baseboards, electric furnaces or strip heat. Read the output as three numbers — gas cost, electric cost, and the winner with the dollar gap — and remember the result is a running-cost comparison, not equipment advice and not a bill prediction.

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The formula, worked line by line

The comparison is built on one idea: price the same useful heat from each side. On the gas side you divide the useful heat by AFUE to get the gas energy you actually have to buy, then multiply by the gas rate.

On the electric side you convert the useful heat to kilowatt-hours, divide by the system coefficient of performance to get the electricity it actually draws, then multiply by the electric rate. Skip either efficiency term and the answer is meaningless, because you would be comparing fuel purchased against heat delivered.

The two efficiency terms work in opposite directions, which is the thing worth internalising. AFUE is always below 1 and therefore always increases the gas you must buy: a 95 percent furnace needs 1.053 units of gas energy for every unit of heat delivered.

COP is normally above 1 and therefore reduces the electricity drawn: a COP of 3 needs 0.333 units of electrical energy for every unit of heat. Nothing is being created from nothing — a heat pump moves ambient heat rather than making it, which is why it can exceed 100 percent while a furnace never can.

gas cost = (therms ÷ AFUE) × gas rate
electric kWh = therms × 29.3
electric cost = (electric kWh ÷ COP) × electric rate
cost per million BTU delivered = the same expressions run on 10 therm-equivalents
Gas vs electric heating costThe same heat costs $78.95 by gas and $85.46 by heat pump; gas wins by $6.51.SAME HEAT, TWO FUELSgas$78.95electric$85.46Gas wins by $6.51
For the same 50 therm-equivalents of heat: gas $78.95 vs heat pump $85.46 — gas wins by $6.51.
The worked default, both sides priced
Gas to buy
50 ÷ 0.95 = 52.63 therms
Gas cost
52.63 × $1.50 = $78.95
Heat as electricity
50 × 29.3 = 1,465 kWh
Heat pump draw
1,465 ÷ 3 = 488.3 kWh
Electric cost
488.3 × $0.175 = $85.46
Winner
Gas, by $6.51, about 8 percent

Swap the heat pump for resistance heat at COP 1 and the electricity is no longer divided: 1,465 × $0.175 = $256.38, and gas wins by $177.43, more than three times over.

Cost to deliver a million BTU, system by system(dollars per million BTU at $1.50 a therm and $0.175 per kWh)
Heat pump, COP 4$12.82
Furnace, AFUE 0.95$15.79
Heat pump, COP 3$17.10
Heat pump, COP 2$25.64
Resistance heat, COP 1$51.29

Read it: At these prices a heat pump has to hold a COP above about 3.25 to beat the furnace, which is achievable in mild weather and demanding in a hard freeze.

A million BTU delivered needs 10 ÷ AFUE therms of gas or 293.1 ÷ COP kilowatt-hours of electricity; reducing both sides to that common denominator is what makes the ranking portable.

Three caveats that decide real outcomes. COP is not a constant; it falls as the outdoor temperature falls, which is why the Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships cold-climate specification sets a floor of COP 1.75 at 5°F at maximum capacity and why many systems fall back to resistance strips in deep cold, landing on the bottom row of the table.

Ratings changed too: HSPF2 and SEER2 replaced HSPF and SEER for US equipment on 1 January 2023 under the appendix M1 test procedure, so an HSPF2 of 7.5, the split-system minimum, corresponds to a seasonal COP of about 2.2. And this is running cost only — it says nothing about equipment price, installation, rebates or cooling, and it is not financial advice.

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Questions people ask

Is gas or electric heat cheaper?

It depends on your rates and your electric system. On the defaults — 50 therm-equivalents of useful heat, gas at $1.50 per therm and 0.95 AFUE, electricity at $0.175 per kWh — gas costs $78.95 and a COP 3 heat pump costs $85.46, so gas wins by $6.51, about 8 percent. That margin is small enough that cheaper electricity, pricier gas, or a higher heat-pump COP flips it, so the only reliable answer comes from entering the prices on your own bills and the COP your climate actually delivers.

What does it cost to deliver a million BTU of heat?

At the default prices of $1.50 per therm and $0.175 per kWh: about $15.79 from a 95 percent AFUE condensing furnace, $18.75 from an 80 percent furnace, $17.10 from a COP 3 heat pump, $25.64 from a heat pump running at COP 2 in cold weather, and $51.29 from electric resistance heat. Reducing every system to cost per million BTU delivered is the only way to rank them, because it applies each system efficiency before comparing, rather than comparing raw fuel prices that mean different things.

What does AFUE mean and why divide by it?

AFUE, or Annual Fuel Utilization Efficiency, is the fraction of the gas energy that becomes usable heat. An AFUE of 0.95 means 95 percent of the energy in the gas warms your house while the other 5 percent escapes up the flue. Because some energy is always lost, the gas you must actually buy is the useful heat divided by AFUE: 50 ÷ 0.95 = 52.63 therms to deliver 50 therm-equivalents of heat. The federal minimum for new non-weatherized gas furnaces is 80 percent AFUE, rising to 95 percent for units made on and after 18 December 2028.

Why is a heat pump so much cheaper than resistance heat?

Because of the coefficient of performance. A therm of useful heat is about 29.3 kWh, so the default 50 units is 1,465 kWh of heat. Resistance heat is COP 1, drawing the full 1,465 kWh and costing 1,465 × $0.175 = $256.38. A heat pump at COP 3 moves three units of heat per unit of electricity, so it draws only 488.3 kWh and costs $85.46. Same heat delivered, a third of the electricity. That is not a violation of anything — the heat pump moves existing ambient heat rather than creating it.

Does a heat pump still win when it is really cold?

Often not at the nameplate figure, because COP falls as the outdoor temperature falls: there is less ambient heat to move and the unit works harder to find it. The Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships cold-climate specification requires only a COP of at least 1.75 at 5°F at maximum capacity, and many systems switch to resistance strips at COP 1 in deep cold. At the default prices a COP 1.75 heat pump costs $29.31 per million BTU against $15.79 from a 95 percent furnace, so run the tool again at a realistic winter COP.

Sources

Where the constants and formulas on this page come from. Each line names the figure it backs.

  1. The cold-climate specification floor of a coefficient of performance of at least 1.75 at 5 degrees Fahrenheit at maximum capacity.

    Cold Climate Air Source Heat Pump Specification, Version 4.0Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships

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