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Rent vs Buy Calculator

The monthly comparison and the break-even year, with the costs people forget included.

Updated

Every field below is an assumption, not a quote and not a forecast. The break-even year moves a great deal when they change, so it is worth running more than one set.

Whatever rate you want to test. Nothing here quotes a market rate.

What the down payment and closing costs would have earned instead. This assumption moves the answer more than any other.

30 years

Break-even year

Year 6

when owning has cost less in total than renting

Principal and interest
$1,918.56 / mo
Owning, year 1 average
$2,768.56 / mo
Renting, year 1 average
$2,215.00 / mo
Cash in on day one
$88,000
Owning, net cost by year 30
$319,665
Renting, net cost by year 30
$919,961

Both sides spend the same cash. Net cost is that cash minus what each side is left holding: sale proceeds after selling costs and the mortgage payoff for the owner, an invested balance for the renter. Change any assumption and this year moves.

Estimates for general information, not financial advice.

In short

When does buying cost less in total than renting?

Under this page’s defaults, in year 6. A $400,000 home with 20 percent down at 6 percent costs $2,768.56 a month to own in year one against $2,215.00 to rent, and $88,000 of cash goes in on day one. Buying pulls ahead only once that gap comes back as equity. Change one assumption and the answer moves by years.

Raise the assumed return on the money not tied up in the house from 5 percent to 8 percent and there is no break-even year at all inside 40 years.

How to use the rent vs buy calculator

Enter the price of the home you are considering and the rent you would pay instead, then set the down payment, the mortgage rate you want to test, and how many years to model. Everything else sits behind the two assumption panels and is filled in already so the tool never quietly ignores a cost.

The result is a single number: the break-even year, the first year at which buying has cost less in total than renting. It is not a verdict on your situation, because it is arithmetic performed on figures you supplied, and several of those figures are things nobody can know in advance.

Year 6

Break-even year

on the default assumptions, over 30 years

$2,768.56

Owning, month, year 1

principal, interest, tax, insurance, upkeep

$2,215.00

Renting, month, year 1

rent plus renters insurance

The comparison only works because both households spend the same cash. The buyer puts $88,000 in on day one, being the $80,000 down payment and $8,000 of buying costs, then pays the mortgage and every running cost. The renter starts with that same $88,000 invested and adds the difference in monthly outlay to it each year.

That construction leaves exactly one thing to compare: what each side is left holding. The owner holds sale proceeds, which is the home value less selling costs less whatever mortgage is still outstanding. The renter holds an invested balance. Net cost is the shared cash out minus that holding.

Year one is where buying looks worst and it is not close. The default run shows owning at a net cost of $50,013.10 against $22,180.00 for renting, because the down payment and buying costs are already spent while almost none of the early mortgage payment reduces the balance. That gap closes slowly and then all at once.

The default run, at four points in time
Net cost of buying by year 1
$50,013.10
Net cost of renting by year 1
$22,180.00
By year 5, buying against renting
$118,597.33 against $113,537.71
By year 6, buying against renting
$134,780.87 against $137,163.91
By year 30, buying against renting
$319,665.01 against $919,961.43

Year 6 is the first year the buying column is the smaller of the two. Change one assumption and that crossing moves, sometimes by a decade.

Only need the mortgage payment itself?

The loan payment calculator amortizes a principal at a rate over a term and shows the total interest, without any of the ownership costs or the comparison against renting.

Open the loan payment calculator

The years slider is worth sweeping before anything else. A break-even year of 6 sounds decisive until you notice that it becomes 10 at a 7 percent assumed investment return, and vanishes entirely at 8 percent, with every other field untouched. The reference table below runs exactly that experiment across six assumptions.

Do

  • Compare places you would actually choose between, so the rent and the price describe the same standard of living.
  • Run the tool three times with different rate assumptions and treat the spread of answers as the real result.
  • Include property tax, insurance and maintenance, since leaving them at zero moves the break-even year by years.
  • Set the selling cost yourself, because commissions are negotiable and the exit is where equity is actually realised.
  • Re-run the numbers if you expect to move within a few years, when buying costs and selling costs dominate.

Don't

  • Read the break-even year as advice, since it is arithmetic on assumptions rather than a judgement about you.
  • Copy a mortgage rate from this page into a budget, because nothing here quotes a rate anyone is offering.
  • Assume house prices only rise; the growth field accepts negative numbers for a reason.
  • Compare a mortgage payment against rent alone, which omits four ownership costs and the down payment entirely.
  • Forget that a house is one undiversified asset you also have to live in, which no break-even year captures.

The same comparison with exactly one assumption changed at a time. Every other field stays at the page default, so each row isolates what that single assumption is worth. The spread runs from year 2 to no break-even at all, which is the honest headline of this tool.

Assumption changedSet toBreak-even yearAgainst the default year 6
Nothing changedthe page defaultsYear 6baseline
Return on money outside the house3% a yearYear 51 year sooner
Return on money outside the house7% a yearYear 104 years later
Return on money outside the house8% a yearnone in 40 yearsnever inside the horizon
Home value change0% a yearYear 2115 years later
Home value change5% a yearYear 33 years sooner
Home value changeminus 5% a yearYear 2620 years later
Mortgage rate4%Year 33 years sooner
Mortgage rate8%Year 1812 years later
Rent today$1,800 a monthYear 1812 years later
Rent today$2,500 a monthYear 42 years sooner
Rent today$1,500 a monthnone in 40 yearsnever inside the horizon
Selling costs0% of sale priceYear 24 years sooner
Selling costs10% of sale priceYear 93 years later
Computed August 2026 by running calculateRentVsBuy over a 40 year horizon on the page defaults: a $400,000 home, 20 percent down, a 6 percent mortgage over 30 years, property tax at 1.1 percent, $1,800 of insurance, maintenance at 1 percent, 2 percent buying costs, 6 percent selling costs, 3 percent home growth, $2,200 rent growing 3 percent, $15 a month renters insurance, and a 5 percent return on money held outside the house. None of those is a market figure or a forecast.

What actually moves the break-even year

One assumption dominates, and it is the least visible one: what the money not tied up in a house would have earned instead. It is the only field that can remove the break-even year altogether. Holding everything else at the defaults and changing nothing but that rate produces the following.

Break-even year by assumed return on money outside the house(years until buying has cost less in total, all other assumptions unchanged)
0% a yearyear 4
3% a yearyear 5
5% a yearyear 6
6% a yearyear 7
7% a yearyear 10

Read it: At 8 percent there is no bar at all: over a 40 year horizon buying never catches up, because the renter balance compounds faster than the equity builds.

Computed by running calculateRentVsBuy on the page defaults over 40 years with only investmentReturnPct changed.

The second biggest lever is the assumed change in house value, and it is the one nobody can know. At 3 percent a year the break-even lands in year 6. At 0 percent it moves to year 21. At 5 percent it arrives in year 3. That is a fifteen year spread produced by an assumption, not by anything you can verify today.

The ownership costs people leave out

A mortgage payment is not the cost of owning a home, and comparing it against rent is the mistake this tool exists to prevent. On the default run the principal and interest come to $1,918.56 a month, while the true year one cost of owning is $2,768.56 a month. Here is where the other $850 goes.

Year one owning cost, on a $400,000 home
Principal and interest, per month
$1,918.56
Property tax at 1.1 percent of value
$366.67
Maintenance at 1 percent of value
$333.33
Home insurance, $1,800 a year
$150.00
True cost of owning, per month
$2,768.56

Tax and maintenance are charged as a percent of the value at the start of each year, so both rise as the house does.

Two more costs sit outside the monthly figure entirely. Buying costs at 2 percent add $8,000 on the way in, and selling costs at 6 percent come out of the sale price on the way out. The exit cost is the reason a short stay rarely breaks even: at 0 percent selling cost the crossing is year 2, and at 10 percent it is year 9.

The formula, worked line by line

The model holds one thing fixed so the comparison cannot cheat: both households spend the same cash. The buyer commits the down payment and the buying costs on day one, then pays principal, interest, property tax, insurance and maintenance. The renter starts with that identical upfront sum invested and adds the yearly difference in outlay to it.

Because total cash out matches to the cent every year, the only difference between the two sides is what each is left holding. For the owner that is sale proceeds after selling costs and the mortgage payoff. For the renter it is the invested balance. Net cost is shared cash out minus that holding, and the break-even year is the first year the owner net cost is the lower of the two.

upfront            = down payment + buying costs
owning, year y     = principal + interest + property tax + insurance + upkeep
renting, year y    = rent × (1 + rent growth)^(y − 1) + renters insurance
renter balance     = balance × (1 + return) + (owning year − renting year)
owner holding      = home value × (1 − selling cost%) − mortgage balance
net cost           = total cash paid − what that side is holding
break-even year    = first y where net cost of owning ≤ net cost of renting
Cumulative cost of buying against rentingUnder the default assumptions, the cumulative net cost of buying starts far above renting because of the down payment and buying costs, then crosses below it in year 6. Both curves are arithmetic on assumptions the reader supplies.CUMULATIVE NET COST · YEARS 1 TO 15yr 1yr 15$371k$0break-even yr 6buyingrentingassumptions, not forecasts
On the page defaults the cumulative cost of buying starts far above renting, then crosses below it in year 6.
The default run, worked through year 6
Cash in on day one
$80,000 down + $8,000 costs
Monthly principal and interest
$1,918.56
Total cash out by year 6, both sides
$291,271.08
Owner holding after selling costs
$156,490.21
Renter invested balance
$154,107.18
Net cost by year 6
$134,780.87 owning, $137,163.91 renting

Year 6 is the first year the owner column is smaller. In year 5 it was $118,597.33 against $113,537.71, the other way round.

What the model deliberately does not do

It does not model the mortgage interest deduction, capital gains treatment on a primary residence, private mortgage insurance below a 20 percent down payment, HOA dues, or rent that jumps by a lease rather than by a smooth annual rate. Each of those is real, and each varies so much by person and place that a single default would be a fiction.

Questions people ask